Tennis · W35 Monastir · 23/10, 10:30
Prediction: Marie Vogt vs Sofia Camila Rojas
Team pages: Marie Vogt · Sofia Camila Rojas
Prediction summary
Winner
Marie Vogt
Sofia Camila Rojas
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Marie Vogt
6-4 (W-L)
Sofia Camila Rojas
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marie Vogt 1524 · Sofia Camila Rojas 1575
| Marie Vogt | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sofia Camila Rojas (rating 1524 vs 1575).
- Sofia Camila Rojas is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Marie Vogt | Sofia Camila Rojas | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.7 | 12.4-9.3 |
| Aces | 4.4 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 61% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 57.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marie Vogt
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Baotong Xu W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Polina Berezina W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 11/10 | Daria Yesypchuk WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Lidia Encheva W50 Burgas |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 22/09 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Ekaterina Yashina WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Ashmitha Easwaramurthi WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/08 | Pia Lovric W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Valentina Steiner W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Polina Skliar W35 Erwitte |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Sofia Camila Rojas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Adelina Lachinova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/10 | Oriana Gniewkowska W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Vaishnavi Adkar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Ada Kumru W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Chelsea Fontenel W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 13/10 | Nina Sozaonova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Angela Fita Boluda W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 21/09 | Indianna Spink W50 Yecla |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 20/09 | Elizabeth Jurna W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marie Vogt vs Sofia Camila Rojas?
Our model gives 55% to Sofia Camila Rojas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.