Tennis · W35 Monastir · 24/10, 11:00
Prediction: Kayo Nishimura vs Marie Vogt
Team pages: Kayo Nishimura · Marie Vogt
Prediction summary
Winner
Kayo Nishimura
Marie Vogt
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Kayo Nishimura
4-6 (W-L)
Marie Vogt
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Kayo Nishimura
0–1
Marie Vogt
(1 last)
- 01 Nov0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kayo Nishimura 1536 · Marie Vogt 1553
| Kayo Nishimura | Marie Vogt | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Kayo Nishimura 0–1 Marie Vogt (1).
Statistics
| Kayo Nishimura | Marie Vogt | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-10.5 | 10.6-9.9 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 47.7% | 50.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Kayo Nishimura 0 – 1 Marie Vogt (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Kayo Nishimura 0–1 Marie Vogt
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/25 W15 Monastir | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kayo Nishimura
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Victoria Milovanova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 21/10 | Sara Husar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Chenting Zhu W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Victoria Milovanova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Demi Tran W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Hikaru Sato W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Marie Vogt
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Sofia Camila Rojas W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Baotong Xu W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/10 | Polina Berezina W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 11/10 | Daria Yesypchuk WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Lidia Encheva W50 Burgas |
1-2 | 13-19 | L |
| 22/09 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Ekaterina Yashina WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Ashmitha Easwaramurthi WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/08 | Pia Lovric W35 Trieste |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Valentina Steiner W35 Erwitte |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kayo Nishimura vs Marie Vogt?
Our model gives 51% to Marie Vogt, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.