Tennis · M25 Luanda · 21/10, 10:00
Prediction: Fares Zakaria vs Courtney John Lock
Team pages: Fares Zakaria
Prediction summary
Winner
Fares Zakaria
Courtney John Lock
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Fares Zakaria
7-3 (W-L)
Courtney John Lock
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fares Zakaria 1570 · Courtney John Lock 1432
| Fares Zakaria | Courtney John Lock | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 69% | 31% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fares Zakaria (rating 1570 vs 1432).
- Fares Zakaria dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 50.1% break avg.
- Fares Zakaria is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Fares Zakaria makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Fares Zakaria | Courtney John Lock | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.4 | 8.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 50.1% | 27.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fares Zakaria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Paul Jubb M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 02/10 | Romain Faucon M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Gawad El Feky M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Luca Castagnola M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Andriy Poritskyy M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Arda Azkara Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Mert Naci Turker Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Courtney John Lock
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Dorian Tremblay M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Marlon Vankan M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Yshai Oliel M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 05/07 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Abraham Asaba Davis Cup |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 19/06 | Daniel Domingos Davis Cup |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/06 | Arnold Ikondo Moke Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/06 | Luca Santiago De Sousa Figueiredo Davis Cup |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/05 | George Gregoriou Challenger Brazzaville · Clay |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 26/04 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Abidjan Qual · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fares Zakaria vs Courtney John Lock?
Our model gives 81% to Fares Zakaria, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.