Tennis · M25 Luanda · 22/10, 10:00
Prediction: Florent Bax vs Parth Aggarwal
Team pages: Florent Bax · Parth Aggarwal
Prediction summary
Winner
Florent Bax
Parth Aggarwal
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Florent Bax
8-2 (W-L)
Parth Aggarwal
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Florent Bax 1545 · Parth Aggarwal 1479
| Florent Bax | Parth Aggarwal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 95% | 5% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Florent Bax (rating 1545 vs 1479).
- Florent Bax is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Florent Bax | Parth Aggarwal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-6.5 | 7.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.2 |
| 1st serve % | 81.7% | 52.1% |
| Break % | 57.9% | 27.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Florent Bax
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Melvin Vix M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 17/10 | Jack Loge M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 16/10 | Allan Gatoto M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Ruslan Serazhetdinov M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Adam Bajurko M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Dev Javia M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/10 | Claude Ishimwe M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/10 | Anup Bangargi M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/10 | Calvin Hemery M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Yshai Oliel M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Parth Aggarwal
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Atharva Sharma M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Nicolas Jadoun M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Drazen Petrovic M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Alessandro Bellifemine M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Sean Cuenin M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Idriss Haddouch M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/06 | Loris Gander M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Florian Broska M25 Tanger · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/05 | Ronit Karki Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/05 | Kabir Hans Challenger Bengaluru · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Florent Bax vs Parth Aggarwal?
Our model gives 79% to Florent Bax, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.