Tennis · M25 Luanda · 22/10, 10:00
Prediction: Fares Zakaria vs Adam Bajurko
Team pages: Fares Zakaria · Adam Bajurko
Prediction summary
Winner
Fares Zakaria
Adam Bajurko
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Fares Zakaria
7-3 (W-L)
Adam Bajurko
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Fares Zakaria 1563 · Adam Bajurko 1381
| Fares Zakaria | Adam Bajurko | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 26% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fares Zakaria (rating 1563 vs 1381).
- Fares Zakaria dominates on serve: 7.2 aces and 49.7% break avg.
- Fares Zakaria is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Fares Zakaria makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Fares Zakaria | Adam Bajurko | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 0.3-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.1 | 7.4-11.6 |
| Aces | 7.2 | 1 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75% | 59.4% |
| Break % | 49.7% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fares Zakaria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Courtney John Lock M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Paul Jubb M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 02/10 | Romain Faucon M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Gawad El Feky M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Karim Ibrahim M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Robert Strombachs M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Luca Castagnola M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Andriy Poritskyy M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/09 | Dimitar Kuzmanov Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Arda Azkara Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
Adam Bajurko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Florent Bax M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Liam Delicata M15 Baku |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Aleksandre Shvangiradze M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-10 | L |
| 25/08 | Mousa Alkotop M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Barney Fitzpatrick M15 Warsaw |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Shanker Heisnam M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/05 | Makar Elesin M25 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 29/04 | Alexey Dubinin M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/04 | Fedor Dorokhov M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/01 | Niels Lootsma UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fares Zakaria vs Adam Bajurko?
Our model gives 84% to Fares Zakaria, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.