Tennis · M25 Luanda · 21/10, 10:00
Prediction: Nikita Ianin vs Ruslan Serazhetdinov
Team pages: Nikita Ianin · Ruslan Serazhetdinov
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikita Ianin
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Ianin
4-6 (W-L)
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikita Ianin 1419 · Ruslan Serazhetdinov 1502
| Nikita Ianin | Ruslan Serazhetdinov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ruslan Serazhetdinov (rating 1419 vs 1502).
- Nikita Ianin dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 41% break avg.
- Ruslan Serazhetdinov is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Nikita Ianin makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Nikita Ianin | Ruslan Serazhetdinov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (10) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-11.9 | 10.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 6.4 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.9% | 67.6% |
| Break % | 41% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikita Ianin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Jack Loge M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 03/05 | Muhammad Shoaib M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 02/05 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/04 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/04 | Tiago Pereira M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/04 | Tim Vaisman M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 16/04 | Alessandro Pecci M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Florent Bax M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Justin Lenders M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 21/09 | Arthur Lenglet M15 Forbach |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Feliciano Nicolas Saulino M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Philippe Renard M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 31/08 | Valentin Latrubesse M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Aditya Chopra M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Samy Iraqi M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Matis Roche M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikita Ianin vs Ruslan Serazhetdinov?
Our model gives 64% to Nikita Ianin, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.