Tennis · M25 Luanda · 20/10, 11:00
Prediction: Alexey Dubinin vs Louis Larue
Team pages: Alexey Dubinin · Louis Larue
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexey Dubinin
Louis Larue
Estimated games
19.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alexey Dubinin
3-7 (W-L)
Louis Larue
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexey Dubinin 1408 · Louis Larue 1517
| Alexey Dubinin | Louis Larue | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 65% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Louis Larue (rating 1408 vs 1517).
- Louis Larue is in better form: 50% recent wins.
Statistics
| Alexey Dubinin | Louis Larue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.5-11.1 | 8.1-9.7 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 46.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexey Dubinin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Tamerlan Azizov M15 Baku |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Evangelos Kypriotis M15 Baku |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/09 | Ilya Ignatov M15 Baku |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Axel Garcian M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/08 | Siddharth Gowthaman M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 23/08 | Matis Roche M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Andrea Brignacca M25 Uriage |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 02/06 | Valentin Vanta M25 Bistrita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 10-9 | W |
| 26/05 | Filippo Mazzola M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Louis Larue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Jack Loge M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Eliakim Coulibaly M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 8-4 | W |
| 02/10 | Millen Hurrion M15 Baku |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Snir Morag M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/09 | Oleg Kolninov M15 Baku |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | James Connel M15 Baku |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Kael Shalin Shah M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Toufik Sahtali M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 27/08 | Jorge Plans M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Skander Nsairi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexey Dubinin vs Louis Larue?
Our model gives 74% to Louis Larue, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.