Tennis · M25 Redbridge · 20/10, 14:00
Prediction: Roan Jones vs Jared Horwood
Team pages: Roan Jones · Jared Horwood
Prediction summary
Winner
Roan Jones
Jared Horwood
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Roan Jones
6-4 (W-L)
Jared Horwood
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roan Jones 1561 · Jared Horwood 1488
| Roan Jones | Jared Horwood | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roan Jones (rating 1561 vs 1488).
Statistics
| Roan Jones | Jared Horwood | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-8.6 | 10.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 1.7 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 70.7% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 53.3% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roan Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10 | Guillaume Dalmasso M15 Rodez |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 11/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Carel Aubriel Ngounoue M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/09 | Nicolas Jadoun M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/09 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 03/09 | Hazem Naw M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Theo Herrmann M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Daniel Jade M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Mae Malige M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Ammar Elamin M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Jared Horwood
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Carl Holder M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Harry Jordan M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Michael Wright M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | James Trotter Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Niels Peter Van Noord M25 Laval |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Jack Davison M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Jan Sebesta M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 23/04 | Brody Nejedly-Krall UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Gaku Nayuki UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/04 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roan Jones vs Jared Horwood?
Our model gives 76% to Roan Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.