Tennis · W15 Villena · 20/10, 10:00

Prediction: Zi Ying Ruan vs Aliesia Reva

Team pages: Zi Ying Ruan · Aliesia Reva

Prediction summary
Winner
60% 40%
Zi Ying Ruan Aliesia Reva
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Zi Ying Ruan 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWWLLLW
Aliesia Reva 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zi Ying Ruan 1501 · Aliesia Reva 1444
Zi Ying RuanAliesia Reva
Our model58%42%
Market61%39%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zi Ying Ruan (rating 1501 vs 1444).
  • Note: Zi Ying Ruan makes many double faults (5/match).
  • Note: Aliesia Reva makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Zi Ying RuanAliesia Reva
Win %50%30%
Win % · Hard 40% (5) –
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.10.8-1.5
Games (G-P)12.4-10.38.7-10.9
Aces1.43.3
Double faults54.7
1st serve %63.2%64.7%
Break %48.6%43.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zi Ying Ruan

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/10 Vega Aguilar Ferrandez
W15 Villena · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
01/10 Valentina Losciale
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
30/09 Midori Castillo Meza
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-1 17-10 W
29/09 Sarina Schnyder
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
26/08 Isabel Pascual Montalvo
W15 Torello · ~Hard
1-2 18-19 L
20/08 Paula Cembranos
W15 Logrono
1-2 16-17 L
19/08 Olga Bienzobas Fernandez Sancho
W15 Logrono
2-0 12-3 W
30/07 Beatrice Stagno
W15 Savitaipale
0-2 5-12 L
29/07 Ema Kovacevic
W15 Savitaipale
2-0 12-2 W
28/07 Iben Mol
W15 Savitaipale
2-0 12-3 W

Aliesia Reva

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/10 Defne Cirpanli
W15 Chisinau
1-2 9-15 L
08/10 Andreea Prisacariu
W15 Chisinau
0-2 10-13 L
06/10 Eva Iurina
W15 Chisinau
2-0 12-2 W
27/09 Malkia Ngounoue
W35 Baza
0-2 9-13 L
07/09 Victoria Gomez O'Hayon
W35 Reus · ~Clay
1-2 9-10 L
03/09 Laura Mair
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
02/09 Sofia Montesinos Vilanova
W15 Badalona · ~Clay
2-1 13-14 W
19/08 Dalila Spiteri
W35 Verbier
0-2 5-12 L
03/08 Rose Marie Nijkamp
W75 Ourense
0-2 2-12 L
02/08 Daniela Darta Feldmane
W75 Ourense
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zi Ying Ruan vs Aliesia Reva?

Our model gives 60% to Zi Ying Ruan, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.