Tennis · W15 Villena · 20/10, 10:00
Prediction: Aleksandra Pozarenko vs Farah Heddar
Team pages: Aleksandra Pozarenko · Farah Heddar
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandra Pozarenko
Farah Heddar
Estimated games
19.4
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandra Pozarenko
4-6 (W-L)
Farah Heddar
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandra Pozarenko 1492 · Farah Heddar 1452
| Aleksandra Pozarenko | Farah Heddar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aleksandra Pozarenko (rating 1492 vs 1452).
- Aleksandra Pozarenko is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Aleksandra Pozarenko makes many double faults (6.7/match).
- Note: Farah Heddar makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandra Pozarenko | Farah Heddar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.4-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.1 | 5.5-11.6 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 50.4% |
| Break % | 58.7% | 29.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandra Pozarenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Isabelle Cherny W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 01/09 | Georgina Garcia-Perez W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W15 Torello · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Petra Konjikusic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Mia Milisavljevic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Viktoria Veleva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 06/07 | Nadja Mladenovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-6 | W |
| 30/06 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Farah Heddar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Helene Pellicano W15 Villena · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Danielle Dai Chapman W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 06/07 | Sasha Natalie Chimedza W35 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Ashton Bowers W15 Hillcrest · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/06 | Polina Isakova W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/04 | Jasmijn Gimbrere W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/04 | Weronika Falkowska W50 Bujumbura · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/03 | Marjorie Souza W15 Santiago |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/03 | Aliesia Reva W15 Hagetmau · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/12 | Gaia Squarcialupi ITF W15 Melilla · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandra Pozarenko vs Farah Heddar?
Our model gives 74% to Aleksandra Pozarenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.