Tennis · W15 Bol · 20/10, 09:30

Prediction: Mariia Drobysheva vs Estella Jaeger

Team pages: Mariia Drobysheva · Estella Jaeger

Prediction summary
Winner
57% 43%
Mariia Drobysheva Estella Jaeger
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mariia Drobysheva 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLLWWWL
Estella Jaeger 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Mariia Drobysheva 1498 · Estella Jaeger 1531
Mariia DrobyshevaEstella Jaeger
Our model45%55%
Market66%34%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Estella Jaeger makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Mariia DrobyshevaEstella Jaeger
Win %50%70%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.5-1
Games (G-P)9.6-9.310.6-9.9
Aces0.71.1
Double faults2.54
1st serve %55.1%55%
Break %52.8%51%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Mariia Drobysheva

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Theresa Stabauer
W15 Bol · ~Clay
1-2 7-13 L
07/09 Sveva Sveva Fumagalli
W15 Viserba Di Rimini
1-2 7-10 L
20/08 Adrienn Nagy
W35 Bistrita · ~Clay
1-2 10-16 L
19/08 Ilinca Sagmar
W35 Bistrita · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
18/08 Lavinia Luciano
W35 Bistrita · ~Clay
2-1 9-8 W
30/07 Lavinia Luciano
W15 Rogaska Slatina
1-2 10-13 L
29/07 Arabella Koller
W15 Rogaska Slatina
2-0 12-5 W
28/07 Melinda Biro
W15 Rogaska Slatina
2-0 12-2 W
20/07 Camilla Gennaro
W75 Cordenons
0-2 5-12 L
19/07 Laura Cilekova
W75 Cordenons
2-0 12-7 W

Estella Jaeger

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Tara Wuerth
W15 Bol · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L
14/10 Mariia Masiianskaia
W15 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
13/10 Vanesa Mrazova
W15 Bol · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
24/09 Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni
W15 Constanta · ~Clay
0-2 3-12 L
23/09 Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru
W15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-1 18-12 W
22/09 Ana Maria Popa Lazar
W15 Constanta · ~Clay
2-1 11-10 W
09/09 Andreea Prisacariu
W15 Campulung
1-2 9-17 L
07/09 Noa Krznaric
W15 Campulung
2-1 12-10 W
30/08 Judit Hernandez Miranda
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard
2-1 12-12 W
29/08 Halle Pringle
UTR Pro Match Series Women · Hard
2-0 13-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Mariia Drobysheva vs Estella Jaeger?

Our model gives 57% to Mariia Drobysheva, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.