Tennis · WTA Ningbo · 21/10, 06:00
Prediction: Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Team pages: Leylah Annie Fernandez · Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Leylah Annie Fernandez
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Leylah Annie Fernandez
6-4 (W-L)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Leylah Annie Fernandez
1–2
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
(3 last)
- 30 Apr1-2 12-14L
- 20 Oct2-0 12-7W
- 09 May1-2 15-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1608 · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1560
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leylah Annie Fernandez (rating 1608 vs 1560).
- Head-to-head: Leylah Annie Fernandez 1–2 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (3).
- Note: Leylah Annie Fernandez makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Leylah Annie Fernandez | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.4-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-9.9 | 10.4-6.9 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 68% |
| Break % | 57.3% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
H2H · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1 – 2 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leylah Annie Fernandez 1–2 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/04/25 WTA Vic | 1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 20/10/23 WTA Nanchang | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/05/23 WTA Rome | 1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leylah Annie Fernandez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Elise Mertens WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 15/10 | Jelena Ostapenko WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 14/10 | Han Shi WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 03/10 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 26/09 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 25/09 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Alycia Parks WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Anna Bondar WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/10 | Xinxin Yao WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Junhan Zhang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leylah Annie Fernandez vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Our model gives 61% to Leylah Annie Fernandez, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.