Tennis · W50 Austin · 19/10, 20:00
Prediction: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Anastasia Tikhonova
Team pages: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva · Anastasia Tikhonova
Prediction summary
Winner
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Anastasia Tikhonova
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
6-4 (W-L)
Anastasia Tikhonova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 1579 · Anastasia Tikhonova 1470
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Anastasia Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sonja Zhiyenbayeva (rating 1579 vs 1470).
- Sonja Zhiyenbayeva is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Anastasia Tikhonova makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Anastasia Tikhonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10 | 8.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 3.2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.9% | 68.9% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/09 | Xiyu Wang Asian Games |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Yufei Ren W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/08 | Matilde Jorge W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Ekaterina Yashina W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Julie Struplova W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Isabella Shinikova W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/08 | Rina Saigo W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/08 | Alicia Dudeney W75 Ourense |
1-0 | 7-5 | W |
Anastasia Tikhonova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Mariia Tkacheva WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Simona Waltert WTA Adana · Hard |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/09 | Aysegul Mert WTA Adana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Anastasia Gasanova WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Kaitlin Quevedo WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Whitney Osuigwe WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Maria Florencia Urrutia WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/09 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
1-2 | 9-18 | L |
| 09/09 | Nao Hibino WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Anastasia Tikhonova?
Our model gives 59% to Sonja Zhiyenbayeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.