Tennis · W50 Austin · 20/10, 17:00
Prediction: Sofia Johnson vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Team pages: Sofia Johnson · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Johnson
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Johnson
3-7 (W-L)
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Johnson 1504 · Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 1470
| Sofia Johnson | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sofia Johnson | Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-10.6 | 9.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.1% | 58.1% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 53.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Johnson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Renata Zarazua W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/10 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Reese Brantmeier WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Ivana Sebestova WTA Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/09 | Malaika Rapolu WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Margaux Rouvroy WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/09 | Matilde Jorge W50 Evora |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 11/09 | Kayla Cross W50 Evora |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Redding |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Francesca Pace W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 08/10 | Kristina Penickova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Maria Sholokhova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Dalila Spiteri WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Katie Swan W50 Evora |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Linda Fruhvirtova W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Adithya Karunaratne W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/08 | Mia Pohankova WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Fernanda Labrana W75 Vacaria |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Johnson vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez?
Our model gives 63% to Sofia Johnson, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.