Tennis · W50 Austin · 20/10, 17:00
Prediction: Sloane Stephens vs Ashley Lahey
Team pages: Sloane Stephens · Ashley Lahey
Prediction summary
Winner
Sloane Stephens
Ashley Lahey
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sloane Stephens
6-4 (W-L)
Ashley Lahey
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sloane Stephens 1548 · Ashley Lahey 1492
| Sloane Stephens | Ashley Lahey | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sloane Stephens (rating 1548 vs 1492).
- Sloane Stephens is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Sloane Stephens | Ashley Lahey | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-9.2 | 10.9-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 57.8% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sloane Stephens
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Kristina Liutova W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/10 | Dana Guzman W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Madison Brengle W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Peyton Stearns WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Janice Tjen WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/09 | Carole Monnet WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/09 | Marta Kostyuk US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Clara Tauson US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Ashley Lahey
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W100 Edmond |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 03/10 | Astra Sharma W15 Nashville |
1-2 | 8-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Raquel Caballero Chica W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Karla Bartel W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/09 | Miriana Tona W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Defne Cirpanli W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/09 | Merel Hoedt W35 Reus · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/09 | Marianne Argyrokastriti W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 05/09 | Ruth Roura Llaverias W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sloane Stephens vs Ashley Lahey?
Our model gives 74% to Sloane Stephens, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.