Tennis · W50 Austin · 19/10, 18:30
Prediction: Varvara Lepchenko vs Christasha McNeil
Team pages: Varvara Lepchenko · Christasha McNeil
Prediction summary
Winner
Varvara Lepchenko
Christasha McNeil
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Varvara Lepchenko
4-6 (W-L)
Christasha McNeil
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Varvara Lepchenko
1–0
Christasha McNeil
(1 last)
- 04 Nov2-0 12-2W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Varvara Lepchenko 1489 · Christasha McNeil 1489
| Varvara Lepchenko | Christasha McNeil | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Varvara Lepchenko 1–0 Christasha McNeil (1).
- Note: Christasha McNeil makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Varvara Lepchenko | Christasha McNeil | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-10.8 | 10-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 38% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4
H2H · Varvara Lepchenko 1 – 0 Christasha McNeil (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Varvara Lepchenko 1–0 Christasha McNeil
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/25 WTA Austin | 2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Varvara Lepchenko
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Cristina Ramos Sierra W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Julieta Pareja W100 Edmond |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 14/10 | Nadia Podoroska W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Ulrikke Eikeri WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/09 | Alycia Parks WTA Guadalajara · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 09/09 | Claire Liu WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Katrina Scott WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Gabriela Knutson US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Christasha McNeil
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Evialina Laskevich W50 Austin |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 15/10 | Salma Drugdova W35 Redding |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Diletta Cherubini W35 Redding |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 22/09 | Emma Kamper W50 Berkeley |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Piper Charney W35 Florence |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Hanna Chang W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Maria Kononova W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | BoYoung Jeong W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Haruka Kaji W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 08/07 | Rachel Gailis W50 Columbus |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Varvara Lepchenko vs Christasha McNeil?
Our model gives 66% to Varvara Lepchenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.