Tennis · W50 Austin · 19/10, 18:30

Prediction: Thea Frodin vs Adriana Reami

Team pages: Thea Frodin · Adriana Reami

Prediction summary
Winner
59% 41%
Thea Frodin Adriana Reami
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Thea Frodin 6-4 (W-L)
LWLWWWWLLW
Adriana Reami 8-2 (W-L)
WWLWWWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thea Frodin 1504 · Adriana Reami 1547
Thea FrodinAdriana Reami
Our model44%56%
Market71%29%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Adriana Reami (rating 1504 vs 1547).
  • Adriana Reami is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Thea Frodin makes many double faults (7.4/match).

Statistics

Thea FrodinAdriana Reami
Win %40%70%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 80% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.31.5-0.7
Games (G-P)10.6-11.411.1-7
Aces5.12
Double faults7.41.8
1st serve %64.6%61.8%
Break %44.4%46%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thea Frodin

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/10 Nadia Elle Valdez
W50 Austin
2-0 12-4 W
16/10 Renata Zarazua
W100 Edmond
0-2 5-12 L
13/10 Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez
W100 Edmond
2-1 17-13 W
12/10 Shria Atturu
W100 Edmond
2-0 12-2 W
08/10 Diletta Cherubini
W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard
1-2 15-17 L
07/10 Yekaterina Dmitrichenko
W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
29/09 Julieta Pareja
W100 Templeton
1-2 12-17 L
01/09 Elena Rybakina
US Open Women · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
28/07 Anastasia Kulikova
W75 Lexington
1-2 11-16 L
20/06 Lea Nilsson
W35 Ystad · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Adriana Reami

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/10 Arina Bulatova
W50 Austin
2-1 14-11 W
04/10 Shakhnoza Khatamova
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
01/10 Sophia Christodoulou
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
01/10 Zuzana Kudlackova
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
30/09 Sophia Dumitrascu
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
28/09 Yulia Zhytelna
UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard
2-0 12-0 W
21/09 Maria Sholokhova
W50 Berkeley
1-2 12-16 L
03/09 Selena Janicijevic
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 3-9 L
02/09 Alexa Karatancheva
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
31/08 Milica Stosovic
W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thea Frodin vs Adriana Reami?

Our model gives 59% to Thea Frodin, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.