Tennis · W50 Austin · 19/10, 18:30
Prediction: Yuliya Hatouka vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Team pages: Yuliya Hatouka · Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuliya Hatouka
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yuliya Hatouka
6-4 (W-L)
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuliya Hatouka 1587 · Rebecca Munk Mortensen 1531
| Yuliya Hatouka | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuliya Hatouka (rating 1587 vs 1531).
- Note: Yuliya Hatouka makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Yuliya Hatouka | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-7 | 10.2-8 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 62.2% | 66.1% |
| Break % | 71.6% | 46.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuliya Hatouka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Maria Kononova W50 Austin |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 04/10 | Antonina Sushkova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Jade Groen W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/10 | Ksenia Smirnova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Kiara Nina Kucikova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/09 | Maria Golovina W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/09 | Mara Guth W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 24/09 | Ksenia Efremova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Diae El Jardi W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Tian Jialin W35 Lagos |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Sofia Camila Rojas W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Paula Cembranos W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Carlota Corte W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/09 | Reese Brantmeier W50 Evora |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Berta Bonardi W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Ariana Arseneault W50 Evora |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Hayu Kinoshita W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Maria Toma W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuliya Hatouka vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen?
Our model gives 60% to Yuliya Hatouka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.