Tennis · W50 Austin · 19/10, 16:00
Prediction: Lexington Reed vs Mayu Crossley
Team pages: Lexington Reed · Mayu Crossley
Prediction summary
Winner
Lexington Reed
Mayu Crossley
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lexington Reed
8-2 (W-L)
Mayu Crossley
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lexington Reed 1539 · Mayu Crossley 1579
| Lexington Reed | Mayu Crossley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 27% | 73% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mayu Crossley (rating 1539 vs 1579).
Statistics
| Lexington Reed | Mayu Crossley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-11.1 | 11.8-6.3 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 67.2% | 62% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 49.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lexington Reed
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Carmen Andreea Herea W50 Austin |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Arina Bulatova W35 Redding |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 08/10 | Edda Mamedova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Katrina Scott W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Amelie Van Impe W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 30/07 | Fiona Crawley W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 29/07 | Kayo Nishimura W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Lilian Poling W75 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Juliana Lucia Diianni W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/07 | Malaika Rapolu W35 Santa Fe |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Mayu Crossley
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Yekaterina Dmitrichenko W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W100 Templeton |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 28/09 | Ana Grubor W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Emma Kamper W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Mckenna Schaefbauer W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 06/09 | Raquel Gonzalez Vilar UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/09 | Berrak Kocak UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 05/09 | Patrycja Niewiadomska UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 03/09 | Jenna Dean UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 02/09 | Jaquelyn Ogunwale UTR Pro Miami Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lexington Reed vs Mayu Crossley?
Our model gives 65% to Mayu Crossley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.