Tennis · W50 Austin · 19/10, 16:00
Prediction: Olivia Lincer vs Merna Refaat
Team pages: Olivia Lincer · Merna Refaat
Prediction summary
Winner
Olivia Lincer
Merna Refaat
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Olivia Lincer
5-5 (W-L)
Merna Refaat
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Olivia Lincer 1484 · Merna Refaat 1537
| Olivia Lincer | Merna Refaat | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Merna Refaat (rating 1484 vs 1537).
- Merna Refaat is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Merna Refaat makes many double faults (6.1/match).
Statistics
| Olivia Lincer | Merna Refaat | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.3-9 | 11.9-10.7 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 6.1 |
| 1st serve % | 62.8% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 48.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Olivia Lincer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Rasheeda McAdoo W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Dana Guzman W100 Edmond |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/09 | Amelie Van Impe W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Sofia Elena Cabezas Dominguez W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 7-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Maria Sholokhova W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Ela Plosnik W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/08 | Clervie Ngounoue W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Anastasia Kulikova W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Hina Inoue W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Avery Alexander W75 Granby |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Merna Refaat
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Alexandra Vagramov W50 Austin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/10 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W15 Nashville |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Carlota Moreno W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Sophia Webster W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Alice Soulie W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/11 | Anastasia Gasanova ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/11 | Cristina R Sierra ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/11 | Katherine Sebov ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/11 | Mia Kupres ITF W50 Austin · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 24/10 | Francesca Pace ITF W35 Norman · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Olivia Lincer vs Merna Refaat?
Our model gives 51% to Olivia Lincer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.