Tennis · W15 Villena · 20/10, 10:00

Prediction: Pauline Dore vs Anastasia Bertacchi

Team pages: Anastasia Bertacchi

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Pauline Dore Anastasia Bertacchi
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Pauline Dore 7-3 (W-L)
WWLWWWLWWL
Anastasia Bertacchi 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pauline Dore 1548 · Anastasia Bertacchi 1454
Pauline DoreAnastasia Bertacchi
Our model63%37%
Market46%54%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pauline Dore (rating 1548 vs 1454).
  • Pauline Dore is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Note: Anastasia Bertacchi makes many double faults (7.8/match).

Statistics

Pauline DoreAnastasia Bertacchi
Win %70%20%
Win % · Hard 67% (3) 40% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.80.8-1.6
Games (G-P)10.3-8.69.5-12.8
Aces0.50.4
Double faults3.17.8
1st serve %60.3%54.4%
Break %68.9%50.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pauline Dore

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/07 Marie Mettraux
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
0-2 4-12 L
20/07 Anna Brunet-Brady
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 12-4 W
19/07 Lucie Brun
W15 Nogent-sur-Marne
2-0 12-3 W
17/06 Julia Riera
W75 Blois · ~Clay
0-2 2-12 L
16/06 Sapfo Sakellaridi
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-1 14-14 W
15/06 Martina Okalova
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-1 19-19 W
14/06 Marie Kolvinter
W75 Blois · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
21/10 Vendula Valdmannova
ITF W75 Poitiers · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
20/10 Vlada Mincheva
ITF W75 Poitiers · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
19/10 Ayline Esina Samardzic
ITF W75 Poitiers · Hard
2-0 12-1 W

Anastasia Bertacchi

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
08/10 Zuzanna Pawlikowska
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
06/10 Barakat Oyinlomo Quadre
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
29/09 Marta Soriano Santiago
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
24/09 Ellie Daniels
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 14-17 L
22/09 Klara Blazkova
W15 Monastir · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
25/08 Tiphanie Lemaitre
W35 Verbier
0-2 0-12 L
18/08 Mara Guth
W35 Verbier
0-2 7-12 L
09/08 Ksenia Zaytseva
W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 10-17 L
04/08 Ustiniya Lekomtseva
W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 16-16 L
18/07 Raluca Georgiana Serban
WTA Palermo · Clay
1-2 11-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pauline Dore vs Anastasia Bertacchi?

Our model gives 54% to Pauline Dore, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.