Tennis · M25 Redbridge · 19/10, 12:30
Prediction: Carl Holder vs Jared Horwood
Team pages: Carl Holder · Jared Horwood
Prediction summary
Winner
Carl Holder
Jared Horwood
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Carl Holder
5-5 (W-L)
Jared Horwood
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carl Holder 1413 · Jared Horwood 1465
| Carl Holder | Jared Horwood | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jared Horwood (rating 1413 vs 1465).
- Note: Carl Holder makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Carl Holder | Jared Horwood | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 13% (8) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.6 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-11.8 | 9.9-10.6 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.7 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.4% | 69.2% |
| Break % | 28.4% | 48.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carl Holder
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Rupert George M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Vincent Reisach M25 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Jacopo Denitto M25 Aldershot |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Maxwell Castle UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 24/06 | Ander Tarrio Ponte UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Noah Folkesson Doudy UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 22/06 | Kai-Luca Ampaw UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 21/06 | Adrien Berrut UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Pablo Perez Ramos M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Ruslan Kastsiukevich M15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Jared Horwood
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Harry Jordan M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 07/09 | Michael Wright M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/07 | James Trotter Challenger Granby · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/07 | Niels Peter Van Noord M25 Laval |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Jack Davison M25 Laval |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Jan Sebesta M25 Varnamo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 23/04 | Brody Nejedly-Krall UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/04 | Gaku Nayuki UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/04 | Haru Kawanaka UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/04 | Shohei Chikami UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carl Holder vs Jared Horwood?
Our model gives 53% to Jared Horwood, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.