Tennis · WTA Ningbo · 20/10, 06:00
Prediction: Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina
Team pages: Jasmine Paolini · Anhelina Kalinina
Prediction summary
Winner
Jasmine Paolini
Anhelina Kalinina
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Jasmine Paolini
6-4 (W-L)
Anhelina Kalinina
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jasmine Paolini
1–0
Anhelina Kalinina
(1 last)
- 09 Jun2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jasmine Paolini 1516 · Anhelina Kalinina 1471
| Jasmine Paolini | Anhelina Kalinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jasmine Paolini (rating 1516 vs 1471).
- Head-to-head: Jasmine Paolini 1–0 Anhelina Kalinina (1).
- Note: Anhelina Kalinina makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Jasmine Paolini | Anhelina Kalinina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 56% (9) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.6-10.7 | 11.6-12.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 4.9 |
| 1st serve % | 57.1% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 51.5% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
H2H · Jasmine Paolini 1 – 0 Anhelina Kalinina (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jasmine Paolini 1–0 Anhelina Kalinina
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/06/17 ITF Women Marseille | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jasmine Paolini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Sonay Kartal WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Sara Bejlek WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 02/10 | Daria Snigur WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/09 | Elina Svitolina Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Qinwen Zheng Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 04/09 | Sorana Cirstea US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/08 | Veronika Erjavec US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Marta Kostyuk Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Anhelina Kalinina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Simona Waltert WTA Ningbo · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 12/10 | Sonay Kartal WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Janice Tjen WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 27/09 | Karolina Muchova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Tyra Caterina Grant Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/09 | Jana Otzipka Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 31/08 | Himeno Sakatsume US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Emma Navarro WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 03/08 | Anna Bondar WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jasmine Paolini vs Anhelina Kalinina?
Our model gives 64% to Jasmine Paolini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.