Tennis · W50 Austin · 18/10, 21:30
Prediction: Diae El Jardi vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Team pages: Diae El Jardi · Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Prediction summary
Winner
Diae El Jardi
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Diae El Jardi
5-5 (W-L)
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Diae El Jardi 1438 · Rebecca Munk Mortensen 1516
| Diae El Jardi | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 25% | 75% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rebecca Munk Mortensen (rating 1438 vs 1516).
- Rebecca Munk Mortensen is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Diae El Jardi makes many double faults (5.1/match).
- Note: Rebecca Munk Mortensen makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Diae El Jardi | Rebecca Munk Mortensen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 100% (1) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.9-10.1 | 10.3-8.3 |
| Aces | 6.5 | 2 |
| Double faults | 5.1 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.7% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 36.9% | 46.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Diae El Jardi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Julia Adams W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Jensen Diianni W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W15 Logrono |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Miroslava Medvedeva W15 Logrono |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Celine Simunyu W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 27/07 | Briley Rhoden W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Hina Inoue W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Maria Kononova W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Theadora Rabman W50 Columbus |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 18/06 | Clarissa Blomqvist W35 Mohammedia · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Rebecca Munk Mortensen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Tian Jialin W35 Lagos |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Sofia Camila Rojas W50 Yecla |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 21/09 | Paula Cembranos W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/09 | Carlota Corte W50 Yecla |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 09/09 | Reese Brantmeier W50 Evora |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Berta Bonardi W50 Evora |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Ariana Arseneault W50 Evora |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Hayu Kinoshita W50 Leiria |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/08 | Maria Toma W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/08 | Brandy Walker W50 Leiria |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Diae El Jardi vs Rebecca Munk Mortensen?
Our model gives 69% to Rebecca Munk Mortensen, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.