Tennis · W50 Austin · 18/10, 20:00
Prediction: Yuliya Hatouka vs Maria Kononova
Team pages: Yuliya Hatouka · Maria Kononova
Prediction summary
Winner
Yuliya Hatouka
Maria Kononova
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Yuliya Hatouka
7-3 (W-L)
Maria Kononova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yuliya Hatouka 1588 · Maria Kononova 1497
| Yuliya Hatouka | Maria Kononova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yuliya Hatouka (rating 1588 vs 1497).
- Yuliya Hatouka is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Yuliya Hatouka makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Maria Kononova makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Yuliya Hatouka | Maria Kononova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-6.4 | 9.5-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 4.4 |
| 1st serve % | 62.1% | 61.5% |
| Break % | 69.5% | 43.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yuliya Hatouka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10 | Antonina Sushkova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Jade Groen W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 02/10 | Ksenia Smirnova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 9-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Anja Wildgruber W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Kiara Nina Kucikova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/09 | Maria Golovina W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/09 | Mara Guth W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 24/09 | Ksenia Efremova W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/09 | Camilla Zanolini W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Maria Kononova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Eva Maria Ionescu W50 Lexington |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Julia Zhu W75 Lexington |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Sophie Llewellyn W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Aisha Merchant W75 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 22/07 | Kate Fakih W35 Santa Fe |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Anna Grigoreva W35 Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Christasha McNeil W35 Dallas |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Elena Mireles W35 Dallas |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Diae El Jardi W35 Dallas |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 23/06 | Lily Fairclough W35 Rome |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yuliya Hatouka vs Maria Kononova?
Our model gives 75% to Yuliya Hatouka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.