Tennis · W50 Austin · 18/10, 18:30
Prediction: Alana Smith vs Emma Kamper
Team pages: Alana Smith · Emma Kamper
Prediction summary
Winner
Alana Smith
Emma Kamper
Estimated games
20
Recent form · 10 last
Alana Smith
5-5 (W-L)
Emma Kamper
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alana Smith 1521 · Emma Kamper 1612
| Alana Smith | Emma Kamper | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Emma Kamper (rating 1521 vs 1612).
Statistics
| Alana Smith | Emma Kamper | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 100% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.6-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-8.9 | 12.7-8.1 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.9% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 56.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alana Smith
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Tatjana Maria W100 Edmond |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Anastasia Kulikova W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 12/10 | Alexandra Vagramov W100 Edmond |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/10 | Bianca Andreescu WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Dalila Jakupovic WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Adelina Lachinova WTA Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Ankara · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Duru Arslan WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Susan Bandecchi W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Julia Avdeeva W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Emma Kamper
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Francesca Pace W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 10/10 | Edda Mamedova W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 09/10 | Diletta Cherubini W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/10 | Anastasia Abbagnato W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/10 | Anne Christine Lutkemeyer Obregon W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Shihomi Li Xuan Leong W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 02/10 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W15 Nashville |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Misa Malkin W15 Nashville |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Carson Branstine W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alana Smith vs Emma Kamper?
Our model gives 59% to Emma Kamper, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.