Tennis · W50 Austin · 18/10, 17:00
Prediction: Ella Mcdonald vs Kate Fakih
Team pages: Ella Mcdonald · Kate Fakih
Prediction summary
Winner
Ella Mcdonald
Kate Fakih
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ella Mcdonald
7-3 (W-L)
Kate Fakih
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ella Mcdonald 1606 · Kate Fakih 1565
| Ella Mcdonald | Kate Fakih | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ella Mcdonald (rating 1606 vs 1565).
- Note: Ella Mcdonald makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Ella Mcdonald | Kate Fakih | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 83% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-8.7 | 13.5-10.4 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 63.9% |
| Break % | 39.8% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ella Mcdonald
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Kristina Penickova W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Savannah Broadus W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Arina Bulatova W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Katherine Hui W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 26/09 | Kayla Day W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Madison Brengle W50 Berkeley |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 24/09 | Savannah Broadus W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/09 | Katherine Hui W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/08 | Amelia Rajecki W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Kate Fakih
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10 | Francesca Pace W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W35 Las Vegas · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 02/10 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Templeton |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Victoria Bosio W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 29/09 | Anita Sahdiieva W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Reina Goto W100 Templeton |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 13/09 | Veronika Miroshnichenko UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 12/09 | Monika Ekstrand UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Tricia Mar UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Lily Fairclough UTR Pro Newport Beach Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ella Mcdonald vs Kate Fakih?
Our model gives 63% to Ella Mcdonald, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.