Tennis · WTA Ningbo · 19/10, 05:00
Prediction: Hanyu Guo vs Ekaterina Alexandrova
Team pages: Hanyu Guo · Ekaterina Alexandrova
Prediction summary
Winner
Hanyu Guo
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Estimated games
23.4
Recent form · 10 last
Hanyu Guo
3-7 (W-L)
Ekaterina Alexandrova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hanyu Guo 1464 · Ekaterina Alexandrova 1518
| Hanyu Guo | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterina Alexandrova (rating 1464 vs 1518).
- Note: Hanyu Guo makes many double faults (4.6/match).
- Note: Ekaterina Alexandrova makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Hanyu Guo | Ekaterina Alexandrova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.7 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-14.5 | 11.9-11 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 4.4 |
| Double faults | 4.6 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 58.7% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 38.3% | 47.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hanyu Guo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Katie Volynets WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 13/10 | Sorana Cirstea WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-17 | W |
| 06/10 | Aliona Falei WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Yue Yuan US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Kayla Day WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Xiyu Wang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Maddison Inglis WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/06 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 25/05 | McCartney Kessler French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Ekaterina Alexandrova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 08/10 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Linda Noskova WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/10 | Diana Shnaider WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 02/10 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/09 | Marta Kostyuk US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Kimberly Birrell US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/08 | McCartney Kessler US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 18/08 | Sara Bejlek WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hanyu Guo vs Ekaterina Alexandrova?
Our model gives 71% to Ekaterina Alexandrova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.