Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · 18/10, 03:00
Prediction: Sae Noguchi vs Ayumi Miyamoto
Team pages: Sae Noguchi · Ayumi Miyamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Sae Noguchi
Ayumi Miyamoto
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sae Noguchi
9-1 (W-L)
Ayumi Miyamoto
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sae Noguchi
3–0
Ayumi Miyamoto
(3 last)
- 18 Jan2-0 13-7W
- 17 Nov2-1 18-14W
- 12 Jan2-1 13-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sae Noguchi 1587 · Ayumi Miyamoto 1522
| Sae Noguchi | Ayumi Miyamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sae Noguchi (rating 1587 vs 1522).
- Head-to-head: Sae Noguchi 3–0 Ayumi Miyamoto (3).
Statistics
| Sae Noguchi | Ayumi Miyamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1.4-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-6 | 13-11.5 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 53.9% | 56.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
H2H · Sae Noguchi 3 – 0 Ayumi Miyamoto (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sae Noguchi 3–0 Ayumi Miyamoto
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 UTR Pro Yokohama Women | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/11/25 W100 Takasaki | 2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 12/01/25 UTR Pro Noda Women | 2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sae Noguchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Tsuki Shibutani UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/10 | Rito Arima UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Nana Onozawa W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Naho Sato W15 Yeongwol |
1-1 | 7-8 | L |
| 03/09 | Ha Yoon Son W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 02/09 | Gio Jang W15 Yeongwol |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Junhan Zhang W15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 04/08 | Anna Snigireva W15 Tianjin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/07 | Yui Komada UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 18/07 | Azuna Ichioka UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Ayumi Miyamoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Nana Kawagishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 16/10 | Miyu Kato UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Kurea Hayasaka W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 21/09 | Maiko Uchijima W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Rinko Matsuda W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Kyoka Kubo UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/07 | Yui Komada UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Miho Kuramochi W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sae Noguchi vs Ayumi Miyamoto?
Our model gives 54% to Sae Noguchi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.