Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · 18/10, 03:00
Prediction: Rito Arima vs Junri Namigata
Team pages: Rito Arima · Junri Namigata
Prediction summary
Winner
Rito Arima
Junri Namigata
Estimated games
21.6
Recent form · 10 last
Rito Arima
4-6 (W-L)
Junri Namigata
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rito Arima 1510 · Junri Namigata 1528
| Rito Arima | Junri Namigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 13% | 87% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Rito Arima makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Rito Arima | Junri Namigata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-11.6 | 12.7-10.1 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 54.5% | 65.8% |
| Break % | 46.5% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rito Arima
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Michiru Furuya UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 16/10 | Sae Noguchi UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Neon Kinoshita UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 12/10 | Azusa Ishii UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 15/03 | Ran Inaba UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 13/03 | Mua Shigeta UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 11/03 | Rei Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 11/03 | Yuzuki Miyajima UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 09/03 | Misaki Yamagishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 18/10 | Kaylah McPhee UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Junri Namigata
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Miyu Kato UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Nana Kawagishi UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Haruna Arakawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Ayumi Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Mayuka Aikawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/07 | Yui Ohwaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Ran Inaba UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/07 | Rio Maeda UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/06 | Mayuka Aikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Kokoro Ishikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rito Arima vs Junri Namigata?
Our model gives 71% to Junri Namigata, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.