Tennis · WTA Ningbo · 17/10, 09:30
Prediction: Dayana Yastremska vs Kamilla Rakhimova
Team pages: Dayana Yastremska · Kamilla Rakhimova
Prediction summary
Winner
Dayana Yastremska
Kamilla Rakhimova
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Dayana Yastremska
5-5 (W-L)
Kamilla Rakhimova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dayana Yastremska 1481 · Kamilla Rakhimova 1514
| Dayana Yastremska | Kamilla Rakhimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 51% | 49% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Dayana Yastremska makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Kamilla Rakhimova makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Dayana Yastremska | Kamilla Rakhimova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 38% (8) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-12.7 | 10.7-10.2 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 60.6% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 42.2% | 47.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dayana Yastremska
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Sinja Kraus WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Maja Chwalinska WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Caty McNally WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/08 | Lucrezia Stefanini US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 25/08 | Janice Tjen WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 29/06 | Aoi Ito Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
Kamilla Rakhimova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Han Shi WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/10 | Sofia Kenin WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/10 | Iva Jovic WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 03/10 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 23/09 | Katie Volynets WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 04/09 | Aryna Sabalenka US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Oksana Selekhmeteva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/08 | Barbora Krejcikova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dayana Yastremska vs Kamilla Rakhimova?
Our model gives 51% to Kamilla Rakhimova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.