Tennis · WTA Ningbo · 17/10, 08:00
Prediction: Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Bondar
Team pages: Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Anna Bondar
Prediction summary
Winner
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Anna Bondar
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
7-3 (W-L)
Anna Bondar
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
2–0
Anna Bondar
(2 last)
- 26 Jan2-0 12-6W
- 07 Jan2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1523 · Anna Bondar 1479
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Anna Bondar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aliaksandra Sasnovich (rating 1523 vs 1479).
- Head-to-head: Aliaksandra Sasnovich 2–0 Anna Bondar (2).
- Note: Anna Bondar makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Aliaksandra Sasnovich | Anna Bondar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.8 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.3-7.9 | 11.9-12.9 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 61.2% |
| Break % | 45.7% | 38% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
H2H · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 2 – 0 Anna Bondar (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 2–0 Anna Bondar
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/01/25 WTA Linz | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/01/21 WTA Abu Dhabi | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/10 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Linda Fruhvirtova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/10 | Xinxin Yao WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Ekaterina Alexandrova WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/09 | Junhan Zhang WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/09 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Daria Kasatkina WTA Singapore · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 27/08 | Vendula Valdmannova US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
Anna Bondar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Mia Pohankova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Renata Zarazua WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 26/09 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Alina Charaeva WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 22/09 | Renata Zarazua WTA Seoul · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/09 | Madison Keys US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 01/09 | Lucie Havlickova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aliaksandra Sasnovich vs Anna Bondar?
Our model gives 60% to Aliaksandra Sasnovich, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.