Tennis · WTA Ningbo · 17/10, 06:30
Prediction: Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Team pages: Polina Kudermetova · Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Kudermetova
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Kudermetova
3-7 (W-L)
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Kudermetova 1476 · Mananchaya Sawangkaew 1516
| Polina Kudermetova | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mananchaya Sawangkaew (rating 1476 vs 1516).
- Note: Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults (7.7/match).
- Note: Mananchaya Sawangkaew makes many double faults (7.2/match).
Statistics
| Polina Kudermetova | Mananchaya Sawangkaew | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (10) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 1.2-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-12.8 | 11-10.8 |
| Aces | 3 | 0.4 |
| Double faults | 7.7 | 7.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 58.2% |
| Break % | 36.1% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Kudermetova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Katie Volynets WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Clara Tauson WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Yexin Ma WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 21/09 | Kamilla Rakhimova WTA Seoul · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 24/08 | Linda Fruhvirtova US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 01/08 | Avery Alexander WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Elina Svitolina WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Mananchaya Sawangkaew
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Magdalena Frech WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Anna Bondar WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 10/10 | Maya Joint WTA Wuhan · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Cheuk Ying Shek Asian Games |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Alina Korneeva WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Leylah Annie Fernandez US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Panna Udvardy US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/08 | Katie Volynets WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Philadelphia · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Kudermetova vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew?
Our model gives 55% to Mananchaya Sawangkaew, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.