Tennis · Challenger Catania · 16/10, 17:00
Prediction: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Marvin Moeller
Team pages: Gianluca Cadenasso · Marvin Moeller
Prediction summary
Winner
Gianluca Cadenasso
Marvin Moeller
Estimated games
24
Recent form · 10 last
Gianluca Cadenasso
3-7 (W-L)
Marvin Moeller
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gianluca Cadenasso 1519 · Marvin Moeller 1566
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marvin Moeller (rating 1519 vs 1566).
Statistics
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-12.5 | 13.1-11.4 |
| Aces | 3 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 67.6% | 67.5% |
| Break % | 44.7% | 50.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gianluca Cadenasso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Svyatoslav Gulin Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/10 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 07/10 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Federico Cina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Leandro Riedi French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Marvin Moeller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Tiago Torres Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gianluca Cadenasso vs Marvin Moeller?
Our model gives 58% to Marvin Moeller, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.