Tennis · Challenger Catania · 15/10, 10:00
Prediction: Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Marvin Moeller
Team pages: Carlo Alberto Caniato · Marvin Moeller
Prediction summary
Winner
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Marvin Moeller
Estimated games
22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Carlo Alberto Caniato
9-1 (W-L)
Marvin Moeller
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carlo Alberto Caniato 1614 · Marvin Moeller 1572
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Carlo Alberto Caniato (rating 1614 vs 1572).
Statistics
| Carlo Alberto Caniato | Marvin Moeller | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 80% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-9.1 | 12.8-10.8 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 1.8 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.5% | 65.7% |
| Break % | 51.7% | 46.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carlo Alberto Caniato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Daniel Siniakov Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/10 | Francesco Passaro Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 06/10 | Max Wiskandt Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 27/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/09 | Lorenzo Berto Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/09 | Alex Barrena Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Marvin Moeller
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Carlos Sanchez Jover Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/10 | Matej Dodig Challenger Braga · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/10 | Tiago Torres Challenger Braga · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/09 | Luka Mikrut Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 25/09 | Dali Blanch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Stefano Travaglia Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 17/09 | Marco Cecchinato Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 15/09 | Daniel Michalski Challenger Szczecin · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carlo Alberto Caniato vs Marvin Moeller?
Our model gives 63% to Carlo Alberto Caniato, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.