Tennis · Challenger Catania · 15/10, 10:00
Prediction: Gianluca Cadenasso vs Svyatoslav Gulin
Team pages: Gianluca Cadenasso · Svyatoslav Gulin
Prediction summary
Winner
Gianluca Cadenasso
Svyatoslav Gulin
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Gianluca Cadenasso
3-7 (W-L)
Svyatoslav Gulin
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gianluca Cadenasso 1515 · Svyatoslav Gulin 1592
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Svyatoslav Gulin (rating 1515 vs 1592).
- Gianluca Cadenasso dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 44.8% break avg.
- Svyatoslav Gulin is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Gianluca Cadenasso | Svyatoslav Gulin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 56% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.3 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-12.5 | 11.9-8.7 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 5.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.8% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gianluca Cadenasso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Kai Wehnelt Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 07/10 | Massimo Giunta Challenger Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/10 | Filippo Moroni Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 30/09 | Lorenzo Angelini Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 29/09 | Benito Sanchez Martinez Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Matthew William Donald Challenger Genoa · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 15/09 | Francesco Forti Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Federico Cina Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Leandro Riedi French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 19/05 | Liam Broady French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Svyatoslav Gulin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/10 | Pedro Rodenas Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/10 | Tilen Kovac Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 27/09 | Luis Carlos Alvarez Valdes Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Ryo Tabata Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/09 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Tulln · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Andrej Martin Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/09 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Tulln · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 31/08 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Como · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Como · Clay |
2-1 | 13-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gianluca Cadenasso vs Svyatoslav Gulin?
Our model gives 52% to Svyatoslav Gulin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.