Tennis · W35 Monastir · 16/10, 11:00
Prediction: Kayo Nishimura vs Chenting Zhu
Team pages: Kayo Nishimura · Chenting Zhu
Prediction summary
Winner
Kayo Nishimura
Chenting Zhu
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Kayo Nishimura
2-8 (W-L)
Chenting Zhu
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kayo Nishimura 1480 · Chenting Zhu 1528
| Kayo Nishimura | Chenting Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chenting Zhu (rating 1480 vs 1528).
- Note: Chenting Zhu makes many double faults (7.5/match).
Statistics
| Kayo Nishimura | Chenting Zhu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-11.3 | 11.3-11.6 |
| Aces | 0.2 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 1.3 | 7.5 |
| 1st serve % | 51.8% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 43.7% | 45.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kayo Nishimura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Victoria Milovanova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Demi Tran W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/09 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Natsumi Kawaguchi W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Vaishnavi Adkar W50 Guiyang |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Hikaru Sato W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 06/09 | Eunhye Lee W50 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/08 | Patcharin Cheapchandej W75 Tianjin |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Dana Guzman W35 Southaven |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Lexington Reed W75 Lexington |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Chenting Zhu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Weronika Ewald W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 14/10 | Adelina Lachinova W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 07/10 | Ekaterina Tupitsyna W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/09 | Emerson Jones WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/09 | Sara Saito WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Albina Kakenova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 16/09 | Han Shi W35 Shenyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/09 | Yuhan Wang W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 13/09 | Yu-Yun Li W35 Shenyang |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/09 | Chia Yi Tsao W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kayo Nishimura vs Chenting Zhu?
Our model gives 57% to Chenting Zhu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.