Prediction: Estella Jaeger vs Tara Wuerth
Team pages: Estella Jaeger · Tara Wuerth
Prediction summary
Winner
Estella Jaeger
Tara Wuerth
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Estella Jaeger
6-4 (W-L)
Tara Wuerth
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Estella Jaeger 1580 · Tara Wuerth 1498
| Estella Jaeger | Tara Wuerth | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 8% | 92% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Estella Jaeger (rating 1580 vs 1498).
- Estella Jaeger is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Estella Jaeger makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Estella Jaeger | Tara Wuerth | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 88% (8) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.6 | 9.5-9.2 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 55.7% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 60.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Estella Jaeger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Vanesa Mrazova W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Ana Maria Popa Lazar W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 09/09 | Andreea Prisacariu W15 Campulung |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Noa Krznaric W15 Campulung |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Judit Hernandez Miranda UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 29/08 | Halle Pringle UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Khadija Adeniran UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Tara Wuerth
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Karina Kovalchuk W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/10 | Sonja Zhenikhova W15 Varna |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Maia Ilinca Burcescu W15 Varna |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/09 | Nicole Gadient W15 Varna |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Elena Korokozidi W35 Bol · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Arianna Zucchini W35 Bol · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 13/05 | Erika Andreeva W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 26/04 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/04 | Gaia Maduzzi W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Estella Jaeger vs Tara Wuerth?
Our model gives 68% to Tara Wuerth, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.