Prediction: Lucia Natal vs Eliska Tichackova
Team pages: Lucia Natal · Eliska Tichackova
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucia Natal
Eliska Tichackova
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lucia Natal
4-6 (W-L)
Eliska Tichackova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucia Natal 1491 · Eliska Tichackova 1609
| Lucia Natal | Eliska Tichackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eliska Tichackova (rating 1491 vs 1609).
- Eliska Tichackova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Lucia Natal makes many double faults (4.9/match).
- Note: Eliska Tichackova makes many double faults (6/match).
Statistics
| Lucia Natal | Eliska Tichackova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 100% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10-10.3 | 12.4-6.5 |
| Aces | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 6 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 65.5% |
| Break % | 55.8% | 61% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucia Natal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Theresa Stabauer W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Ashley Lahey W15 Badalona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Carmen Gallardo Guevara W15 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Anais Gabriel W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Carlota Vila Salles W15 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 17/07 | Nina Radovanovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Charlotte Pikkaart W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 14/07 | Ariana Geerlings W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 10/07 | Elza Tomase W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Cayetana Gay W15 Getxo · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Eliska Tichackova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Linda Sevcikova W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 20/09 | Denise Hrdinkova UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/09 | Anika Jaskova UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 17/09 | Viktoria Varga UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Chiara Jerolimov UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/09 | Laura Svatikova UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Valeria Avdeeva UTR Pro Budapest Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/03 | Alisa Oktiabreva W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 28/02 | Han Shi W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 27/02 | Dayeon Back W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucia Natal vs Eliska Tichackova?
Our model gives 78% to Eliska Tichackova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.