Tennis · M25 Luanda · 15/10, 10:05
Prediction: Florent Bax vs Ruslan Serazhetdinov
Team pages: Florent Bax · Ruslan Serazhetdinov
Prediction summary
Winner
Florent Bax
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Florent Bax
6-4 (W-L)
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Florent Bax 1559 · Ruslan Serazhetdinov 1507
| Florent Bax | Ruslan Serazhetdinov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 94% | 6% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Florent Bax (rating 1559 vs 1507).
Statistics
| Florent Bax | Ruslan Serazhetdinov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-7.4 | 10.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 5.3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 2.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 83.6% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 41.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Florent Bax
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Adam Bajurko M25 Luanda · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Dev Javia M25 Kigali |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/10 | Claude Ishimwe M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/10 | Anup Bangargi M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/10 | Calvin Hemery M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Yshai Oliel M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Caheer Warik M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/09 | Noah Schachter M25 Kigali |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 18/09 | Moise Kouame Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Martin Borisiouk Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Ruslan Serazhetdinov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10 | Justin Lenders M15 Rodez |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 21/09 | Arthur Lenglet M15 Forbach |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Feliciano Nicolas Saulino M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/09 | Philippe Renard M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 31/08 | Valentin Latrubesse M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Aditya Chopra M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/08 | Samy Iraqi M15 Cap d'Agde |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Lucas Marionneau M15 Rognac |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Matis Roche M15 Rognac |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Roan Jones M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Florent Bax vs Ruslan Serazhetdinov?
Our model gives 77% to Florent Bax, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.