Tennis · UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · 16/10, 05:30
Prediction: Miyu Kato vs Ayumi Miyamoto
Team pages: Miyu Kato · Ayumi Miyamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Miyu Kato
Ayumi Miyamoto
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Miyu Kato
5-5 (W-L)
Ayumi Miyamoto
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Miyu Kato 1540 · Ayumi Miyamoto 1514
| Miyu Kato | Ayumi Miyamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 3% | 97% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Miyu Kato makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Miyu Kato | Ayumi Miyamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-8.7 | 12.7-11.2 |
| Aces | 0 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 5 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 37% | 59.3% |
| Break % | 24% | 51.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Miyu Kato
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Haruka Nishimura UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Rika Oogoshi UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/10 | Acalia Shamim UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/06 | Yua Morishita UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Yuko Wadazumi UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 03/06 | Lucia Gale UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Shizuka Sakurada UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Kokoro Ishikawa UTR Pro Kakogawa Women · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 06/03 | Rei Miyamoto UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 05/03 | Aoi Yoshida UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-9 | W |
Ayumi Miyamoto
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09 | Kurea Hayasaka W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 21/09 | Maiko Uchijima W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/09 | Rinko Matsuda W35 Kyoto |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/07 | Kyoka Kubo UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Junri Namigata UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 18/07 | Yui Komada UTR Pro Kawaguchi Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/06 | Miho Kuramochi W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 27/06 | Gaeul Jang W15 Sapporo |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 26/06 | Mayuka Aikawa W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Kanon Sawashiro W15 Sapporo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Miyu Kato vs Ayumi Miyamoto?
Our model gives 74% to Ayumi Miyamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.