Tennis · WTA Lisbon · 15/10, 12:00
Prediction: Francisca Jorge vs Francesca Jones
Team pages: Francisca Jorge · Francesca Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Francisca Jorge
Francesca Jones
Estimated games
22.2
Recent form · 10 last
Francisca Jorge
4-6 (W-L)
Francesca Jones
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francisca Jorge 1526 · Francesca Jones 1549
| Francisca Jorge | Francesca Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Francesca Jones makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Francisca Jorge | Francesca Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.6 | 12.2-10.7 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 66.2% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 56.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francisca Jorge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 02/10 | Eva Vedder W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 01/10 | Kylie Collins W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Teresa Franco Dias W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 22/09 | Mia Pohankova WTA Porto · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/09 | Jeline Vandromme WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 17/09 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/09 | Xinyu Gao WTA Caldas Da Rainha · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/09 | Anastasia Gasanova W50 Evora |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Katarina Kuzmova W50 Evora |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Francesca Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Martina Colmegna WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/09 | Mona Barthel WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Alja Senica WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 10/09 | Rositsa Dencheva WTA Antalya · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 08/09 | Raluca Georgiana Serban WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/09 | Iva Jovic US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Magda Linette US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 28/08 | Joanna Garland US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Mona Barthel US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Nuria Brancaccio US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francisca Jorge vs Francesca Jones?
Our model gives 69% to Francesca Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.