Tennis · WTA Lisbon · 15/10, 10:00
Prediction: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Polona Hercog
Team pages: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro · Polona Hercog
Prediction summary
Winner
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Polona Hercog
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
6-4 (W-L)
Polona Hercog
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
2–0
Polona Hercog
(2 last)
- 13 Jun2-0 12-3W
- 02 Feb2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 1523 · Polona Hercog 1489
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | Polona Hercog | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 2–0 Polona Hercog (2).
Statistics
| Jessica Bouzas Maneiro | Polona Hercog | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.3 | 11-12 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 65.1% |
| Break % | 43.8% | 44.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.8
H2H · Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 2 – 0 Polona Hercog (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jessica Bouzas Maneiro 2–0 Polona Hercog
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06/24 WTA Valencia | 2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/02/24 W50 Porto | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/10 | Milana Ivantsiv WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Alexandra Shubladze WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Aliona Falei WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Sofya Lansere WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Yuhan Wang WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 25/09 | Karolina Muchova Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/09 | Dominika Salkova WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Elena Rybakina US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Polona Hercog
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Jazmin Ortenzi WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Madalena Matias WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
| 06/10 | Alena Kovackova W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Lisa Pigato W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 01/10 | Naiktha Bains W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Ayana Akli W75 Quinta Do Lago · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 14/09 | Julie Struplova WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Moyuka Uchijima US Open Women · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Laura Pigossi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Polona Hercog?
Our model gives 66% to Jessica Bouzas Maneiro, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.