Tennis · WTA Lisbon · 16/10, 12:00
Prediction: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Fiona Ferro
Team pages: Leyre Romero Gormaz · Fiona Ferro
Prediction summary
Winner
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Fiona Ferro
Estimated games
23.3
Recent form · 10 last
Leyre Romero Gormaz
5-5 (W-L)
Fiona Ferro
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leyre Romero Gormaz 1490 · Fiona Ferro 1607
| Leyre Romero Gormaz | Fiona Ferro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fiona Ferro (rating 1490 vs 1607).
- Fiona Ferro is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Leyre Romero Gormaz makes many double faults (6.7/match).
Statistics
| Leyre Romero Gormaz | Fiona Ferro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 90% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 100% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.5 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-13.7 | 12.2-7.9 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 60.8% | 56.9% |
| Break % | 48.8% | 52.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Raluca Georgiana Serban WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/10 | Alice Rame WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/09 | Jessica Pieri WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Polona Hercog WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Martina Trevisan WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Berfu Cengiz WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 25/08 | Joanna Garland US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
Fiona Ferro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10 | Selena Janicijevic WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Aurora Zantedeschi WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/09 | Yidi Yang WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Talia Gibson WTA Singapore · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/09 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 12/09 | Dalma Galfi WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-1 | 14-7 | W |
| 11/09 | Lucie Havlickova WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/09 | Barbora Palicova WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Mona Barthel WTA Montreux · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Clara Burel W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Fiona Ferro?
Our model gives 66% to Fiona Ferro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.