Prediction: Mariia Masiianskaia vs Estella Jaeger
Team pages: Mariia Masiianskaia · Estella Jaeger
Prediction summary
Winner
Mariia Masiianskaia
Estella Jaeger
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mariia Masiianskaia
3-7 (W-L)
Estella Jaeger
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mariia Masiianskaia 1456 · Estella Jaeger 1556
| Mariia Masiianskaia | Estella Jaeger | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Estella Jaeger (rating 1456 vs 1556).
- Estella Jaeger is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Estella Jaeger makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Mariia Masiianskaia | Estella Jaeger | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.1-10.2 | 10.8-10.2 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.2% | 55.5% |
| Break % | 60.6% | 54.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mariia Masiianskaia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Irem Kurt W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Matilde Mariani W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Yasmine Mansouri W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Valeria Garnevska W35 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-9 | L |
| 24/08 | Xinran Sun W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Ulyana Hrabavets W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Nahia Berecoechea W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 07/08 | Maria F Herazo Gonzalez W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Ustiniya Lekomtseva W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Matilde Paoletti W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-0 | 7-6 | W |
Estella Jaeger
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Vanesa Mrazova W15 Bol · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 24/09 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Karina Elena Gabriela Dumitru W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 22/09 | Ana Maria Popa Lazar W15 Constanta · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 09/09 | Andreea Prisacariu W15 Campulung |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 07/09 | Noa Krznaric W15 Campulung |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 30/08 | Judit Hernandez Miranda UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 29/08 | Halle Pringle UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 28/08 | Khadija Adeniran UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 27/08 | Malkia Ngounoue UTR Pro Match Series Women · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mariia Masiianskaia vs Estella Jaeger?
Our model gives 53% to Estella Jaeger, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.