Tennis · WTA Lisbon · 15/10, 11:00
Prediction: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Raluca Georgiana Serban
Team pages: Leyre Romero Gormaz · Raluca Georgiana Serban
Prediction summary
Winner
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Raluca Georgiana Serban
Estimated games
24.2
Recent form · 10 last
Leyre Romero Gormaz
5-5 (W-L)
Raluca Georgiana Serban
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Leyre Romero Gormaz
1–2
Raluca Georgiana Serban
(3 last)
- 31 Jan2-1 14-11W
- 27 Jun0-2 9-13L
- 21 Oct0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leyre Romero Gormaz 1491 · Raluca Georgiana Serban 1502
| Leyre Romero Gormaz | Raluca Georgiana Serban | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Leyre Romero Gormaz 1–2 Raluca Georgiana Serban (3).
- Note: Leyre Romero Gormaz makes many double faults (6.7/match).
- Note: Raluca Georgiana Serban makes many double faults (8.3/match).
Statistics
| Leyre Romero Gormaz | Raluca Georgiana Serban | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 44% (9) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.5 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.8-13.8 | 11-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 6.7 | 8.3 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 64.9% |
| Break % | 54.3% | 50% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.2
H2H · Leyre Romero Gormaz 1 – 2 Raluca Georgiana Serban (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leyre Romero Gormaz 1–2 Raluca Georgiana Serban
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 WTA Cluj-Napoca | 2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/06/23 Wimbledon Women | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/10/22 ITF W25 Seville | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leyre Romero Gormaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Alice Rame WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 23/09 | Jessica Pieri WTA Tolentino · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Polona Hercog WTA Tolentino · Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Martina Trevisan WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/09 | Berfu Cengiz WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 25/08 | Joanna Garland US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Raluca Georgiana Serban
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Analu Freitas WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/10 | Sara Cakarevic WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Sarah Van Emst WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/10 | Jennifer Ruggeri W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 07/10 | Lara Schmidt W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Gaia Maduzzi W50 Plovdiv |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Lea Boskovic WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Francesca Jones WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W50 Prague |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Noemi Basiletti WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Raluca Georgiana Serban?
Our model gives 63% to Leyre Romero Gormaz, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.