Tennis · Challenger Catania · 15/10, 10:00
Prediction: Pavel Lagutin vs Massimo Giunta
Team pages: Pavel Lagutin · Massimo Giunta
Prediction summary
Winner
Pavel Lagutin
Massimo Giunta
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Pavel Lagutin
6-4 (W-L)
Massimo Giunta
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pavel Lagutin 1566 · Massimo Giunta 1542
| Pavel Lagutin | Massimo Giunta | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 61% | 39% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Pavel Lagutin | Massimo Giunta | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.9 | 13.3-11.8 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 1.2 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 71.6% |
| Break % | 45.3% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pavel Lagutin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Michael Geerts Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/10 | Oleksandr Ovcharenko Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 11/10 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/09 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Rares Teodor Pieleanu Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Enrico Dalla Valle Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/09 | Maximilian Marterer Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Matthieu Roehrich Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 10/09 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Massimo Giunta
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Henry Searle Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas Challenger Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 07/10 | Gianluca Cadenasso Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 06/10 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 01/10 | Carlos Taberner Challenger Bari · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Federico Arnaboldi Challenger Bari · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/09 | Mika Brunold Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 10/09 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Genoa · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/09 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Oleksii Krutykh Challenger Genoa · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pavel Lagutin vs Massimo Giunta?
Our model gives 57% to Pavel Lagutin, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.