Tennis · M25 Luanda · 14/10, 11:00
Prediction: Nikita Ianin vs Jack Loge
Team pages: Jack Loge
Prediction summary
Winner
Nikita Ianin
Jack Loge
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Nikita Ianin
5-5 (W-L)
Jack Loge
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nikita Ianin 1441 · Jack Loge 1553
| Nikita Ianin | Jack Loge | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jack Loge (rating 1441 vs 1553).
- Nikita Ianin dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 42.6% break avg.
- Jack Loge is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Nikita Ianin makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Nikita Ianin | Jack Loge | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 30% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11.6 | 12.3-9.4 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.5% | 70.8% |
| Break % | 42.6% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nikita Ianin
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Taisei Ichikawa Challenger Phan Thiet Qual · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka Challenger Phan Thiet · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 09/05 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
0-1 | 4-6 | L |
| 03/05 | Muhammad Shoaib M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 02/05 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/04 | Anton Arzhankin M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/04 | Tiago Pereira M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 21/04 | Tim Vaisman M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-12 | L |
| 16/04 | Alessandro Pecci M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/04 | Yassin Ahmed Wageh M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Jack Loge
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10 | Tuncay Duran M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Ewen Lumsden M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Renaud Lefevre M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 11/09 | Ioannis Xilas M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 10/09 | Niklas Schell M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/09 | Nicolo Toffanin M25 Rabat · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/09 | Max Houkes M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/09 | Yaroslav Demin M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Reda El Aouni M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Andrea M'chich M25 Casablanca · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nikita Ianin vs Jack Loge?
Our model gives 78% to Jack Loge, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.