Tennis · M25 Luanda · 14/10, 11:00

Prediction: Andrea Motta vs Dan Added

Team pages: Andrea Motta · Dan Added

Prediction summary
Winner
33% 67%
Andrea Motta Dan Added
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Andrea Motta 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWLWLWL
Dan Added 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLWWLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andrea Motta 1499 · Dan Added 1446
Andrea MottaDan Added
Our model58%42%
Market13%87%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andrea Motta (rating 1499 vs 1446).

Statistics

Andrea MottaDan Added
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard – 0% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-10.7-1.2
Games (G-P)9.8-8.78-9.7
Aces1.15.4
Double faults2.12
1st serve %66%71.9%
Break %52.7%34.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 19.7

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andrea Motta

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/08 Branko Djuric
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
28/08 Antoni Fabre
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-6 W
26/08 Esteban Talavera Cortes
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-1 6-7 L
25/08 Caheer Warik
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-7 W
20/08 Anton Arzhankin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
19/08 Maksim Despotovic
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
18/08 Franco Ariel Vazquez
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 11-3 W
11/08 Vuk Radjenovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 13-14 L
28/07 Ansar Niyetkaliyev
M15 Astana
1-2 11-11 L
27/07 Rafael Giotis
M15 Astana
2-1 11-10 W

Dan Added

WLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/09 Gauthier Onclin
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
15/09 Adrian Mannarino
Challenger Rennes · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
08/09 Daniel Masur
Challenger Cassis · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
04/09 John Echeverria
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
0-2 7-12 L
03/09 Philippe Renard
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
1-0 6-4 W
02/09 Etienne Donnet
M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre
2-0 9-2 W
25/08 Jerome Kym
US Open · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
16/08 Philip Henning
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
0-2 7-12 L
15/08 Goncalo Marques
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-9 W
14/08 Pablo Perez Navarro
M25 Idanha-A-Nova
2-0 13-9 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andrea Motta vs Dan Added?

Our model gives 67% to Dan Added, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.