Tennis · Challenger Catania · 14/10, 10:00
Prediction: Izan Almazan Valiente vs Felix Gill
Team pages: Izan Almazan Valiente · Felix Gill
Prediction summary
Winner
Izan Almazan Valiente
Felix Gill
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Izan Almazan Valiente
8-2 (W-L)
Felix Gill
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Izan Almazan Valiente 1562 · Felix Gill 1534
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Felix Gill | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 39% | 61% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Izan Almazan Valiente | Felix Gill | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8.2 | 11.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 48.2% | 43.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Izan Almazan Valiente
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/09 | Adrian Andreev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/09 | George Lazarov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Stefan Popovic Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/09 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Biella · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Franco Agamenone Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Gianmarco Ferrari Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 13/09 | Matteo Covato Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/09 | Santiago Rodriguez Taverna Challenger Seville · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
Felix Gill
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Gabriele Piraino Challenger Catania · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/09 | Jonas Forejtek Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/09 | Iliyan Radulov Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/09 | Alexander Vasilev Challenger Plovdiv · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/09 | Jay Clarke Challenger Biella · Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/09 | Gerard Campana Lee Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/09 | Mika Petkovic Challenger Biella · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/09 | Sebastian Ofner Challenger Seville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/08 | Francesco Passaro US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Colton Smith Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Izan Almazan Valiente vs Felix Gill?
Our model gives 54% to Felix Gill, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.